Linea TGE Airdrop Simulation – Based on Updated Tokenomics 🪂

Following the recently announced Linea tokenomics, I felt the need to update my previous simulation. This version is still based on Linea’s largest prior distribution model: the Voyage NFT tier system

This simulation is completely unofficial and purely illustrative. It contains no personal opinions or financial advice. All inputs are derived from past Linea distributions and publicly available data. Total supply: 72,009,990,000 LINEA TGE circulating supply: 15.8B User airdrop allocation: 6.48B LINEA Strategic Builders allocation: 720M LINEA In this model, wallets with less than 1500 LXP were excluded from eligibility.

No multipliers were applied in this simulation. The entire structure is based on LXP-based weighted allocation only. That said, I believe onchain multipliers will have the biggest impact in the actual airdrop. So, what could the multipliers be based on? If Linea chooses to reward deeper ecosystem alignment, here are some reasonable multiplier criteria:

  • Owning an ENS name on Linea

    Actively using Consensys products like Metamask or Phosphor

    Providing liquidity on the Linea network (and holding it long-term)

    Participating in lending/borrowing activities

    ETH staking or restaking on Linea

    Holding ecosystem tokens (instead of just farming)

    Holding OG/community NFTs

    Regular usage of multiple dApps

    Such as participation prior to the DENCUN upgrade.

    Verified PoH + meaningful social involvement

FAQ:

Why is Tier 1 limited to 6000+ LXP?

In the original Voyage drop, only ~20,000 users received the top-tier Alpha NFT. This simulation mirrors that ratio, placing only the top 2.5% of users in Tier 1.

Are these numbers final or official?

Not at all. they are purely averages derived from available data and prior distribution logic.

Why only five tiers?

To keep it clear and concise, the structure uses five well-defined tiers based on LXP ranges.

Why weren’t multipliers added?

Because the goal here was to isolate the LXP-based logic first. Potential multipliers were discussed separately above.

Note

This simulation is based on the logic used during the Voyage NFT distribution and assumes a minimum threshold of 1500 LXP. IT IS NOT OFFICIAL AND CONTAINS NO PERSONAL OPINION. IT IS ENTIRELY BASED ON THE VOYAGE NFT TIER SYSTEM PREVIOUSLY IMPLEMENTED BY THE LINEA TEAM.

PS: While some community members advocate for a smaller gap between the minimum and maximum airdrop caps, I respectfully disagree. I believe those of us who actively engage with the ecosystem day and night deserve to be meaningfully rewarded for our contributions.

WDYT LINEANS?

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Here is the analysis I made before tokenomics was published:

LINEA TGE TIER SIMULATION BASED ON VOYAGE TIERS

I have created a completely unofficial TGE airdrop tier and multiplier system based on the tier evaluation used in Linea first major distribution event, the Voyage NFT drop.

The table titled “Linea Voyage NFT Tiers (official data)” shows how Alpha, Beta, Gamma, and Delta NFTs were distributed to around 350,000 users based on their contributions, with each NFT granting a specific amount of LXP. These NFTs quantified each wallet’s contribution within the ecosystem.

The “LXP Distribution of PoH-Verified Wallets” table displays the LXP range of 821,930 wallets verified after the snapshot. Only 2.5% of them had over 6000 LXP, showing that true contribution was concentrated in a small minority

Using this data, the “Airdrop Tier Proposal Based on Voyage NFT Tiers Simulator” introduces a six-level airdrop model based on LXP score brackets. ( This distribution is based on the logic of the tier system implemented by the linea team during the voyage missions.) But what if multipliers were also included? In a model that considers on-chain behavior, weighting could be applied to measure not just how much you contributed, but how consistently and meaningfully you did.

The “Balanced Airdrop Multiplier Table” proposes just that: wallets holding community NFTs, providing long-term liquidity, and holding ecosystem tokens could receive a multiplier of x2.5; those with basic LXP and casual engagement could receive x1.0; and wallets that only minted a free NFT with no further activity might receive as little as x0.3 or even zero. This approach doesn’t just ask how much you contributed-it also asks how well and how loyally you did it.

What do you think? Would this kind of distribution model be fair and practical? I’d love to hear your thoughts.

Note: This simulation is not official and is based solely on public data and previous distribution logic. LXP-L scores are not considered in this model.

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The tiers look fine, the only thing that I would like to change would be to add a minimum lxp treshold 2k-3k or to push them back for a future “airdrop” from the remaining 75% for a season2 or something like that.
Also if someone had little to no interactions after the last LXP campaign should be removed from the list.

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