Linea Airdrop Rules Prediction: Exploring the Logic Behind Fair Distribution

Feedback Token Design
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Linea Airdrop Rules Prediction: Exploring the Logic Behind Fair Distribution

The $LINEA token is set to launch at the end of the first quarter of 2025, and the airdrop rules have become a hot topic of discussion recently. As a member of the community, I’m sharing what I believe to be a plausible and relatively fair proposal for the airdrop rules. This is just my personal take, and I hope it helps everyone prepare for the airdrop before the final rules are revealed, so that we can maximize our potential gains. My views may not be perfect, and I’m sure they won’t satisfy everyone, but if you have your own opinions, feel free to leave a comment, and let’s discuss together.

Reviewing Linea’s Growth Journey

Before we dive into analyzing the airdrop rules, let’s take a moment to review @LineaBuild’s major milestones from its inception to where it is today, and look at the key events that we, as ordinary users, have experienced.

  • 2019: Linea chain was born
  • Fall 2022: Linea presented zkEVM at DevCon 6
  • January 2023: Linea private testnet opened
  • April 5, 2023: Opened minting of the commemorative NFT “Spring Thaw,” total mint of 31,878
  • May 2, 2023: Testnet Odyssey event began, lasting 9 weeks
  • July 9, 2023: Testnet Odyssey ended, with 5.2 million participating wallets
  • July 11, 2023: Linea launched its Alpha mainnet
  • July 19, 2023: Linea released commemorative testnet NFT rewards with 5 tiers
  • August 16, 2023: Linea completed Alpha mainnet launch
  • September 5, 2023: Linea Entertainment Festival began, ended October 8, with 850,000 wallets participating
  • September 27, 2023: The concept of LXP was introduced to recognize contributions to the Linea ecosystem
  • November 7, 2023: Linea’s DeFi Odyssey started, lasting 6 weeks
  • December 7, 2023: The 6th wave of DeFi Week introduced the concept of POH
  • February 13, 2024: Linea launched Mainnet Alpha V2, reducing total costs of ZK verification by 90%
  • February 20, 2024: Linea launched Linea Park, lasting 6 weeks, ending on April 4
  • March 28, 2024: Linea completed the EIP-4844 Cancun upgrade and released two commemorative NFTs, with a significant GAS cost reduction in the final week
  • March 31, 2024: Linea started the Easter surprise rewards for the Park event, ending April 7
  • May 17, 2024: Linea Surge activity officially began, lasting 6 months, with 1.5x points multiplier for early users, gradually decreasing
  • July 1, 2024: Linea Culture SZN activity began, lasting 5 weeks, with nearly 1 million wallets participating
  • July 30, 2024: ENS @ensdomain opened secondary domain registration on Linea
  • August 30, 2024: Linea incorporated OpenBlock’s witch detection model into the LXP program
  • October 20, 2024: Linea launched Pondfun, a meme platform similar to Punpfun
  • October 21, 2024: Linea launched the Life on Linea contest, where users and creators can win 2.5 ETH each week for sharing content
  • October 23, 2024: Linea Testnet Voyage NFT snapshot
  • November 11, 2024: Linea announced the details of LXP distribution for Testnet NFT holders
  • November 13, 2024: At Devcon, Linea announced the establishment of the Linea Association in Switzerland and confirmed plans to launch the $LINEA token in the first quarter of 2025
  • November 26, 2024: Linea Surge event concluded with over 2 million wallets participating, totaling 119.98 billion LXP-L generated

These are the main events that we, as regular users, have experienced (excluding developer-related and side task events). To be honest, this journey hasn’t been easy, but in the end, we’ve accumulated a significant amount of LXP and LXP-L. So, which one is more important? Let’s continue to dig deeper.

LXP and LXP-L Distribution in the Airdrop: What’s the Ratio?

Before we dive into the specifics of the airdrop rules, the core question that needs to be addressed is: What is the ratio between LXP and LXP-L in the total airdrop distribution? My personal take is a 5:5 ratio (LXP : LXP-L), but hear me out before you jump to conclusions.

LXP has a Higher Weight

From the very beginning of the testnet (where even simple cross-chain tasks couldn’t be completed without spending money on GAS), to the outrageous GAS fees on the mainnet during the DeFi Odyssey, and the later Linea Park events, our community has invested a lot of time and money into completing numerous tasks. This has not only contributed to data growth on the chain but has also provided valuable insights for many projects.

In the letter titled “A Note to Linea’s Early Adopters,” the project team stated:

一封信
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“Linea’s early adopters contributed to reaching the current level of TVL on the network, and they did it without any additional incentives from the network itself. And we will always remember that (never forget your OGs).”

This statement, made just before LXP-L was introduced, underscores the meaning of 1 LXP ≠ 1 LXP-L.

Moreover, LXP requires POH (Proof of Humanity) to be completed to receive it, and it cannot be transferred or sold. As anyone who has completed 1A+2B knows, completing POH is no easy task. This reflects the rarity and high entry barrier of LXP, which justifies its higher weight compared to LXP-L, ensuring that the contributions of early users are properly rewarded.

Why is LXP-L’s Weight Relatively Lower?

Although the Surge event contributed to TVL growth for Linea, LXP-L requires only wallet activation and the provision of at least 26u liquidity to earn points, without the need for POH or complicated interactions. This makes the entry barrier significantly lower. As a result, over 2 million wallets participated in this event. If LXP-L were given the same weight as LXP, the rewards that early users should have received would have been severely diluted.

Why Choose a 5:5 Ratio?

If we look at the wallet participation numbers—130 million wallets versus 200 million wallets—it’s clear that the former would receive more reward allocation. Furthermore, early users also received a 1.5x multiplier for their participation in the Surge event, which is an additional way the project team rewards early supporters.

By adopting a 5:5 ratio, we can fairly reward early community users while still incentivizing liquidity providers. I believe this is a balanced and fair approach.

LXP Part Airdrop Rules Analysis

Total and Holders of LXP

  • Total Supply: 2,621,511,258 LXP
  • LXP Holders: 1,297,203 wallets

Based on the total supply of LXP and the distribution of holders, I believe the best approach is to set a minimum threshold and distribute rewards through tiered allocation. This ensures that users at different levels receive appropriate rewards while preventing dust accounts from diluting the rewards and avoiding excessive concentration of rewards in the hands of a few large holders.

Minimum Threshold for Fair Distribution

The setting of a minimum threshold is crucial for ensuring fairness in the airdrop. In addition to eliminating the influence of dust accounts, we must also consider that in the final week of Linea Park, many new accounts were created at a very low cost due to the GAS reduction from the Cancun upgrade. This led to a dilution of rewards for earlier participants.

For those who joined Park in that final week and obtained around 1300 LXP, it was not very difficult. However, if these users did not continue participating in Linea’s subsequent side tasks and were unwilling to invest in configuring Testnet NFTs, then setting the minimum threshold at 1500 LXP effectively avoids interference from these low-cost accounts, ensuring that the airdrop rewards are more fairly distributed to long-term active users.

Tiered Allocation

For this round of tiered rewards, I decided to increase the points associated with wallets holding 7000+ LXP, as this tier represents the maximum score attainable for ordinary users who completed nearly all main and side tasks without making additional investments. I believe these users should be recognized as

true OGs!

LXP分档
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LXP-L Part Airdrop Rules Analysis

额外系数加成
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Total and Holders of LXP-L

  • Total Supply: 119.87B LXP-L
  • LXP-L Holders: Approximately 2,034,000 wallets

Since LXP-L is easier to obtain and heavily dependent on liquidity volume, I believe the airdrop for LXP-L will be distributed using a linear distribution model to ensure fairness and transparency.

LXP-L递减系数分档
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As with LXP, there will need to be a minimum threshold to remove low-tier dust accounts, and a decay factor will be applied for large holders to ensure that ordinary users’ share of the airdrop is not overly diluted.

Conclusion

I hope this analysis helps everyone prepare for the upcoming airdrop. While we don’t yet know the exact snapshot time, it’s always good to be prepared early!
As Linea continues to grow and evolve, I believe there will be even more opportunities for us in the future. With the ongoing support of the community, Linea will only continue to get better, and its ecosystem will become even healthier. Let’s all look forward to a bright future with Linea and hope that we can all benefit from the opportunities ahead.

If you have any different views or thoughts, feel free to leave a comment below ,for further discussion. Let’s all look forward to the arrival of the $LINEA airdrop!

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Thanks for your job, but your bonus system is absolutely unfair. The same sovz, which you mention here for the millionth time, mints for 5 seconds for free, and you equate it to a member of the OG community, who participates in the life of the network 24/7.

This is not surprising, because the majority of proposals on this forum, unfortunately, are trying to promote criteria that are easily achieved and scaled by abusers. All the rest are added only for cover.

Everyone has long known and it is obvious that industrial farmers are aiming at the minimum threshold in order to spend less resources and scale the reward with a huge army of accounts.

I really hope that Linea will give battle to such guys and this will free up resources for rewards.

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For this round of tiered rewards, I decided to increase the points associated with wallets holding 7000+ LXP, as this tier represents the maximum score attainable for ordinary users who completed nearly all main and side tasks without making additional investments. I believe these users should be recognized as

true OGs!

I absolutely disagree. On your chart, after 7k, growth is rapidly increasing. Yes, such users are great (I have 8450 LXP myself), but what is the merit? That I bought more testnet nft?

You can appeal that there are not many such people and they are unique. Okay, that’s true. But why at the same time do you belittle the role of local communities with such an imbalance of rewards?)

true OGs!

Too much of a statement. Doubtfull.

Let’s then add 0.5 points to those guys who didn’t buy the NFT testnet, but earned as participants. If you want to reward OG. That’s logical and fair.

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你这是把自己钱包复合的因素 全部算进去加系数啊

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我自己可没这么多，我只是提供可能性的角度，如果真的存在额外加成，提醒大家不要漏掉一些东西而已

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wtf is 5:5 ratio ?

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And why are you adding all eligible wallets in 1.5k-2k group ? By doing this you mean a person with 2k-3k will receive 2,5 poitns or what ?

Secondly, I think 1.5k-2k group should receive 0,5 in the best scenario, the descrepancy in absolute number is too high: around 300k of possible bots will receive just 1.5 time less money as 2k-3k, appreciating bots and low quality addresses. Leave everything else unchaged, but lower 1.5-2k to 0,5 points, since from these values significantly less bots are expected.

Finally, there was an overkill with the bonuses, absolutely illogical values, encouraging bots.

  1. Linea ENS, Sovs and other activities which have no deadlines, available 24/7 and cost you almost 0$ grants you the same number of points as Efrog NFT, the price of which is 1k$ and I don’t even take into account how powerful and significant this community is for Linea. Only 2k supply, so you better increase points for them to at least 3, so it will match 5k LXP, I guess the intrisnic value for Linea community is the same, especially if we look at long term development.
  2. Also, I don’t really understand your logic and your chinese, but I guess you meant 50$ in Foxy or Croak tokens, which makes no sense, since then you must adjust Efrogs NFTs to 20 points, because they cost 20x times more than holding 50$ in meme tokens.
  3. I love your idea with wallet balance, I would suggest you to increase it to around 0.0075.
  4. After that, exclude Metamask card from the list. It doesn’t work all around the globe, so it’s basically unfair to those who has no possibility to even order the card.
  5. Mirror, Dencun NFT - also exclude them from the list. They were cheap and available for a long time, being minted by thousands of bots just for free as just a memorable NFT with no value and recognition. And I also don’t understand how you can give the same amount of points for Efroglets with price of 0.02 ETH and quite small supply and Dencun NFT with price of 3$ and huge supply. Just exclude them
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Better you decrease the 7000 LXP with True OG status. It’s not reasonable to give 7000LXP people True OG status with just NFT bought from secondary marketplace. 7000 LXP must be little lower. Also, check how many months NFT hold in their account and not sold for quick bucks and later again buy back.

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First of all, thank you for your feedback on my article. I completely understand your concerns, especially regarding the fairness of the reward system. The issues you raised are indeed very important, but I would like to provide some explanations:

I understand that the Sovz event has a low barrier to entry and can indeed be exploited by some users through mass account registrations or other means. However, the timing of this event was a milestone for the Linea project. While I’m not sure about the exact value of this so-called oath, I do believe it should be remembered by the community, which is why I included it in my analysis.

The thresholds have already been set in both the LXP and LXP-L sections. Why should we focus on an activity that everyone can participate in without much cost? Does this really affect fairness?

Regarding your reply:

Please take a closer look at what I wrote in the article. The reason I increased the rewards for this specific tier is that it includes people who have been interacting with the project from the beginning. These individuals didn’t purchase additional testnet NFTs, and 7000 points is the maximum score they could achieve. How is this different from your suggestion of rewarding those who didn’t buy the NFT by giving them 0.5 points?

I am also a member of the Efrog community and own multiple NFTs. Please don’t assume that just because I gave a lower score, it somehow makes the system unfair. In the list below, I also mentioned that this is simply one possible categorization approach.

I completely agree that we need more balance and transparency to ensure that all participants receive fair rewards from the system. The airdrop rules and reward mechanisms I proposed certainly still have a lot of room for improvement in this regard.

Thank you for your input, which has motivated me to refine my forecast. If you have more ideas or suggestions, feel free to continue the discussion. Together, we can contribute to the healthy development of the Linea community.

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Very good advice

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Great, I apologize for casually writing bonus points for them, I did initially just want to show you which angles may be given bonuses, but I did not go into further detail on their respective values. , your suggestions are great, and I agree with them. I feel that in my mind, I am one step closer to the final plan. :pray:

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Thanks for your reply, bro! Appreciate your hard work. It can be around 6k+ or little lower. You can target 6k to 7k range. Even adds up 20769+6575+1325+396+77= 29142 it can be consider True OG along with how many months they actively participated in LXP-L campaign. Each volt involvement adds up points.

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Another new angle, nice, thanks for sharing.

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If you dig further you can find many other angle too. Hope it will help. Also, Ethereum ENS + LInea ENS holders with 20+ Gitcoin score and holding 0.005 eth on each chain ( Ethereum and Linea chain).

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I would say why not include also at least 1 swap and 1 bridge through Metamask wallet. As it is also product of ConsenSys. As Nowadays, they are promoting Metamask card, so it can be alternative way to distinguish from other users.

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Yes, there is, Article 7 :smiling_face_with_three_hearts:

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If you want to reward someone that interact from the beginning it’s better to give some point to guys who was a participant of testnet, but not a buyer testnet NTF. It’s obvious.

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Yes, you need to include as many actions as possible that are easily reproduced by automatists and abusers so that they can collect their minimum points and get, albeit minimal, but a drop on all their thousands of accounts.

Keep it up guys, you are great.

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If you dive deeper, you can analyze gas costs. But these guys will never write about it, because it will filter out their accounts.

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Yes, the fourth article in LXP-L Part Airdrop Rules Analysis is exactly that, giving a bonus to addresses that have received NFT airdrops before. :smile: